situation report · 2026-06-12 · live intelligence · model probabilities, not advice
World Monitor
The World Cup forecast shifted with Spain's title probability down 0.3 points, amid 1 final and 2 scheduled fixtures across 6 countries.
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Finals on the board
Today’s fixtures & venue weather
Wire — latest headlines
- World Cup Daily LIVE: Co-hosts Canada fall behind ...
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- World Cup Daily LIVE: Co-hosts Canada open play in...
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- Lukic heads Bosnia in front against Canada
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- FIFA World Cup 2026 live updates: Opening ceremony kicks off Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina ahead of U.S. debut - NBC News
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- World Cup co-host Canada trails Bosnia and Herzegovina in Toronto - CNN
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- Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina LIVE: World Cup 2026 latest as Jovo Lukic stuns co-hosts in Toronto - The Independent
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Travel burden — top 5
- 1. South Africa۱۸٬۲۳۷ km
- 2. DR Congo۱۶٬۶۰۸ km
- 3. Uzbekistan۱۵٬۴۷۷ km
- 4. Czechia۱۴٬۷۲۶ km
- 5. Qatar۱۴٬۵۳۶ km
◉ The platform is being played from 6 countries (aggregated, thresholded — see privacy note).
What you’re looking at
The monitor is built entirely from this platform’s own data plus free public sources: live scores from the results pipeline, kickoff weather from Open-Meteo for all 16 stadiums (heat flagged at 32°C+), team journeys derived from the fixture list as great-circle arcs, the probability field from the Monte-Carlo engine, headline pins matched by our own gazetteer (titles and links only), and aggregated, privacy-thresholded counts of where the world plays from. Drag the timeline to replay the tournament — past days show what was known then; future days show the schedule and current forecast. The basemap is self-hosted; no tiles, no keys, no trackers.